Eastern Kentucky
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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RankNameGradeRating
10  Soufiane Bouchikhi SR 31:06
71  Wade Meddles SR 31:42
132  Ambrose Maritim FR 31:59
178  Thijs Nijhuis JR 32:10
194  Ole Hesselbjerg JR 32:12
296  Ben Toroitich JR 32:31
460  Erwin Leysen SR 32:55
625  Sean Vandermosten JR 33:15
843  Ben Turner SO 33:37
880  Adams Ronnoh SR 33:40
1,942  Kyle Burton SR 35:13
2,223  Peter Migun JR 35:46
2,814  Jerome Williams FR 37:34
National Rank #13 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #1 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.4%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 6.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 28.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 78.1%


Regional Champion 54.3%
Top 5 in Regional 99.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Soufiane Bouchikhi Wade Meddles Ambrose Maritim Thijs Nijhuis Ole Hesselbjerg Ben Toroitich Erwin Leysen Sean Vandermosten Ben Turner Adams Ronnoh Kyle Burton
Virginia Panorama Farms Invitational 09/28 589 31:09 32:11 31:55 32:25 32:23 32:45 33:08 33:26 33:51 35:02
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/05 1157 33:12 33:12 33:39 33:26 35:24
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 532 31:05 31:39 31:58 32:18 32:32 33:02 32:48 33:36 33:41
Ohio Valley Championship 11/02 730 31:51 32:21 32:12 32:19 32:46 33:08 33:46 33:43
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 301 30:50 31:04 31:48 31:41 31:54 31:51 33:10
NCAA Championship 11/23 458 31:08 31:36 32:06 32:10 31:55 33:05 33:23





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.4% 14.9 401 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.0 2.4 3.6 4.0 4.7 4.3 5.2 4.9 4.8 5.4 5.8 4.9 5.2 5.2 4.6 5.0 4.2 3.9 4.0 2.9 2.6 2.7 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2
Region Championship 100% 1.7 77 54.3 28.0 15.1 2.0 0.5 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Soufiane Bouchikhi 99.9% 14.9 0.3 0.9 2.8 4.3 4.4 5.0 4.6 4.3 4.3 3.9 3.3 3.4 3.0 3.2 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.2
Wade Meddles 99.5% 71.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6
Ambrose Maritim 99.4% 111.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Thijs Nijhuis 99.4% 141.6
Ole Hesselbjerg 99.4% 143.8
Ben Toroitich 99.4% 187.4
Erwin Leysen 99.4% 221.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Soufiane Bouchikhi 1.9 21.7 31.9 15.3 9.8 6.8 4.2 2.8 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Wade Meddles 8.4 0.0 0.7 2.8 6.8 9.4 9.5 9.7 8.3 7.2 5.5 4.9 4.3 3.4 2.9 2.4 2.7 2.1 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.7
Ambrose Maritim 15.1 0.0 0.5 1.2 2.7 4.2 5.5 5.5 5.9 5.9 4.8 4.8 4.5 4.1 4.3 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.3 2.9 3.0 2.4 2.4 2.2
Thijs Nijhuis 20.8 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.6 2.7 2.9 3.6 4.0 4.6 4.5 4.8 4.3 4.4 3.8 3.9 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.2 3.2
Ole Hesselbjerg 21.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.2 1.9 2.4 2.6 3.2 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.5 4.0 4.2 4.1 3.7 3.9 3.7 3.0
Ben Toroitich 33.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.4 2.2 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.1
Erwin Leysen 53.1 0.1 0.1 0.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 54.3% 100.0% 54.3 54.3 1
2 28.0% 100.0% 28.0 28.0 2
3 15.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 15.1 3
4 2.0% 99.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 4
5 0.5% 20.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 5
6 0.2% 0.2 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 99.4% 54.3 28.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.9 3.2 3.2 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 82.3 17.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 99.6% 1.0 1.0
North Carolina 96.8% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 95.9% 1.0 1.0
Providence 91.6% 1.0 0.9
Air Force 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Harvard 65.7% 1.0 0.7
Virginia 64.2% 1.0 0.6
Florida 59.3% 1.0 0.6
Georgia 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Dartmouth 23.0% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Auburn 14.4% 1.0 0.1
Washington 10.2% 1.0 0.1
Arizona State 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Duke 1.2% 1.0 0.0
UCLA 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 9.1
Minimum 4.0
Maximum 14.0